Bitcoin Price Prediction: Impact of MicroStrategy’s $7B Short Positions and NFP Data
During the US session, Bitcoin fell dramatically to $69,000 following the release of stronger than expected US NFp figures.
MicroStrategy, known for holding a large amount of Bitcoin, is dealing with significant short positions valued at nearly $7 billion.
Despite a notable decline in short-seller interest, there are still over 18 active short positions against the company, as listed by Fintel’s “The Big Shorts.”
The decline in short positions occurs even as the company’s stock price has tripled over the past six months.
The Big Short.
7 Billion dollars worth of shorts have been placed on MicroStrategy.
Share price is up another 2% today already 👊#MSTR pic.twitter.com/EIRZr71NjD
— Walla Koala 🇸🇻 (@WallaKoalaBear) June 7, 2024
- Key Points:
- Largest short position: $2.4 billion.
- MSTR stock has surged by 469% in the past year.
This decrease in short-seller confidence could suggest a lesser risk of a short squeeze, which occurs when short-sellers rush to buy back stock to cover their positions, potentially driving prices even higher.
US Adds 272,000 Jobs in May, Beating Expectations and Impacting Bitcoin Prices
In May, the US economy added 272,000 jobs, far surpassing the anticipated 190,000, despite high interest rates. This increase indicates a robust labor market, although the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4%. This growth was celebrated by the White House, emphasizing continued economic progress.
- Key Points:
- Jobs Added: 272,000 in May
- Unemployment Rate: 4%
- Interest Rates: 5.25% to 5.5%
This job growth has influenced Bitcoin prices, reflecting broader economic confidence.
While the labor market remains strong, Wall Street is concerned about sustained high interest rates. The Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting will address potential rate changes, with inflation currently at 3.4%, above the target of 2%.
How Job Growth Impacts Bitcoin: The robust job growth and economic confidence have bolstered Bitcoin prices, as investors view the strong labor market as a positive sign for the economy and financial markets.
Bitcoin’s Price Stability Supported by Whale Accumulation and Long-Term Holder Interest
Long-term Bitcoin holders are showing renewed interest, with BTC whales accumulating significant amounts, leading to $1 billion in daily inflows over the past month. This demonstrates strong confidence in Bitcoin’s future.
According to CryptoQuant, there has been a notable increase in the balances of permanent holders and large investors, alongside a rise in Bitcoin purchases from spot ETFs in the USA.
- Key Points:
- BlackRock ETF Inflows: $350 million
- Grayscale ETF Outflows: $37.574 million
This accumulation and renewed interest have contributed to Bitcoin’s price stability, with potential for further growth above the $68,500 level.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Bitcoin is currently trading at $69,300, just above the pivot point of $68,550, which is marked by the green line on the chart and signals the chances of a bullish Bitcoin price prediction.
This pivot point acts as a crucial support level, reinforced by an upward trendline. Immediate resistance is seen at $69,950, with further resistance levels at $71,000 and $72,000. On the downside, support levels are found at $67,600 and $66,600.
BTC/USD is trading at $69,300, just above the pivot point of $68,550. Immediate resistance is at $69,950, with further levels at $71,000 and $72,000. Support is at $67,600 and $66,600. RSI indicates an oversold condition, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/xiKLvpqTpY
— Arslan Ali (@forex_arslan) June 7, 2024
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 32, indicating an oversold condition. This suggests that selling pressure may be easing, potentially leading to a bullish reversal above the $68,550 mark. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (50 EMA) is at $70,358 and currently acts as a resistance level.
In conclusion, Bitcoin is showing bullish potential above $68,550, supported by the upward trendline and an oversold RSI, suggesting a possible reversal. Watch for resistance at $69,950 and further resistance levels at $71,000 and $72,000. Support levels are at $67,600 and $66,600.
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